{"id":32750,"date":"2021-06-16T09:00:55","date_gmt":"2021-06-16T08:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sportsgazette.co.uk\/?p=32750"},"modified":"2021-06-15T12:29:34","modified_gmt":"2021-06-15T11:29:34","slug":"what-does-the-2021-epsom-derby-tells-us-in-terms-of-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sportsgazette.co.uk\/what-does-the-2021-epsom-derby-tells-us-in-terms-of-data\/","title":{"rendered":"What does the 2021 Epsom Derby tells us in terms of data?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On Saturday 5th June 2021, the 242nd Epsom Derby was staged producing an unexpected result for punters.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adayar, ridden by Adam Kirby and trained by Charlie Appleby for owners Godolphin were victorious on a scorching day at Epsom.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"getty aligncenter\"><a id='c5eEys0DS_NdROB32XyuGg' class='gie-single' href='http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1233341759' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;'>Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'c5eEys0DS_NdROB32XyuGg',sig:'iRgRCPcoN3cGnS2RVQuyFDcDVdXH8aeGqQmZF5Z-8nI=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1233341759',caption: false ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This was Godolphin\u2019s\u00a0 and Appleby\u2019s second Derby victory after winning the prestigious race in 2018 with Masar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It was also a huge result for Kirby who had lost the ride on the Ed Dunlop trained John Leeper earlier in the week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Aidan O\u2019Brien trained Bolshoi Ballet who was pre-race favourite finished a disappointing seventh for which it was revealed after that he suffered a cut on his hind legs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But what does the 242nd running of the Derby tell us in terms of data?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Draw<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The draw is crucial to a horse in the Epsom Derby and what stall they are placed in. The stalls were first introduced to the Derby in 1967.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When the draws were made on the Thursday before the race, Adayar was drawn in stall one. This stall has dashed many hopes in the past including Ballydoyle\u2019s Saxon Warrior in 2018 who was a short priced favourite going into the race after his win in the 2,000 Guineas a few weeks beforehand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But when given the draw of stall one, he floundered at the start and could only finish a laboured fourth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Saturday\u2019s victory for Adayar was even more remarkable because of his draw. This was the first time since 1999 that a horse drawn from stall one had won the Derby.\u00a0 That year saw the Henry Cecil trained Oath, ridden by Kieran Fallon, coming from stall one in a 16-runner field.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"getty aligncenter\"><a id='Mr2tBxGjQlht0m-q2D4Kkw' class='gie-single' href='http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1219920' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;'>Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'Mr2tBxGjQlht0m-q2D4Kkw',sig:'Wc4XAtNGqXWIvZZEliYhdfkjdXIpvFLIUYmuNmuLfeY=',w:'594px',h:'394px',items:'1219920',caption: false ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stall ten is referred to as the lucky draw with ten previous Derby winners\u00a0 coming from that stall to win including the legendary Galileo who stormed to victory for Ballydoyle in 2001.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This time around, the Richard Hannon trained outsider Mojo Star was handed that stall and finished second at odds of 80\/1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So the draw is crucial to a horse\u2019s chances but \u00a0Adayar flew in the face of tradition to go on a win from a stall which had always been considered a red herring.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Time<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Adayar\u2019s win came in at 2:36.85. Compared to last year\u2019s Derby when the runaway winner Serpentine recorded victory in a time of 2:34.43.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This indicates that Adayar\u2019s win was a little slower than Serpentine\u2019s win a year ago. The Aidan O\u2019Brien trained colt\u2019s victory was on Good ground with the main difference being that the race was run in July in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"getty aligncenter\"><a id='-hZLyrLMTnRLoTd1nLYkWQ' class='gie-single' href='http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1224655705' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;'>Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'-hZLyrLMTnRLoTd1nLYkWQ',sig:'votwjZM911RESng1twvbAXLqHGLow9tslkHy1V9zAQ8=',w:'594px',h:'385px',items:'1224655705',caption: false ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Running the race in July was a different experience last year, given that many trials for the Derby were postponed and some parts of the course would have been dried out from the rain that can come during the summer months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Epsom&#8217;s going on Derby Day was Good to Soft with rain falling on the Epsom Downs a few days beforehand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The course record at Epsom in the Derby was set by Workforce in 2010 who won in a remarkably quick time of 2:31.33 on Good to Firm ground.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since then, the only horse that has come close to recording as strong a time is Golden Horn in 2015 with a time of 2:32.32. Like Workforce\u2019s victory in 2010, the going on that day was Good to Firm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It indicates that on Good to Firm going, there are quicker times recorded and with the last two Derby\u2019s run on Good, Good to Soft ground, this year\u2019s Derby was six seconds slower than the record time that was put up by Workforce in 2010.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>The Sectionals<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The sectionals are also an excellent indication of how a horse quickens over each furlong. The Derby is run over one mile and four furlongs (12 furlongs in total).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Within the final furlong, Adayar was the only horse that went under 12 seconds recording a time of 11.96.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The even more remarkable fact from Adayar\u2019s win was that he managed to record the same time within the tenth and eleventh furlong with a consistent time of 11.38.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The sectionals are recorded from five furlongs onwards. Adayar\u2019s win on Good to Soft going, illustrates that his Derby success was strong form indeed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"getty aligncenter\"><a id='wi8vcKOgQtJAAwbktlz-jQ' class='gie-single' href='http:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/1233341946' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;'>Embed from Getty Images<\/a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'wi8vcKOgQtJAAwbktlz-jQ',sig:'tkWspvUIoV3HJk8ZHBHxyXnPy5jB136lFOBGCSdSApw=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1233341946',caption: false ,tld:'com',is360: false })});<\/script><script src='\/\/embed-cdn.gettyimages.com\/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async><\/script><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Whilst many will see this year\u2019s Epsom Derby as somewhat of a\u00a0 freak result, the sectionals for Adayar indicate that he was a worthy winner of the race that was strongly run from the very beginning.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It will be intriguing to see where Adayar goes from here with the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot in July a possibility.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How did Adayar storm to victory in the Epsom Derby of 2021? @McDevitMyles has delved into the statistics that saw Adayar triumph in the Derby.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":95,"featured_media":32756,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[2680],"tags":[3689,3690,2104,3687,3688,1067],"ppma_author":[4036],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v15.9.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What does the 2021 Epsom Derby tells us in terms of data? - Sports Gazette<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The 2021 Epsom Derby produced a shock result with Adayar victorious for owners Godolphin. 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Myles studied an undergraduate degree in Multimedia Sports Journalism at UCFB Wembley. He has had previous written work published for Sportsvibe, GiveMeSport and Gloucestershire Live.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/McDevitMyles\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/sportsgazette.co.uk\/author\/myles\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","authors":[{"term_id":4036,"user_id":95,"is_guest":0,"slug":"myles","display_name":"Myles McDevitt","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/4784e1cd47e21671197f142561f51c87?s=96&d=mm&r=g","first_name":"Myles","last_name":"McDevitt","user_url":"","description":"Myles, 22 hails from Cheltenham where his passions are rugby union and horse racing. Myles studied an undergraduate degree in Multimedia Sports Journalism at UCFB Wembley. 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